The Island Watches for Some Weather

In Belize, when people say that “weather is coming” – they generally mean bad weather. And on Ambergris Caye – a place where we probably see at least some sun on 350 days a year? That means rain or a storm.

A few days ago – dramatic rain storm coming over reef – it was sunny about 10 mins later

We are expecting some “weather” this weekend and maybe next week. It’s a big, big maybe. The potential tropical storm – the red X below – is FAR far away.

NHC model showing the potential systems
National Hurricane Center – we are the white arrow

Here’s the projections for

Wunderground June 28th

First, the closest system to us is projected to bring rain and a bit of wind over the weekend. Dia de San Pedro festivities – the big parties with live music and the Miss San Pedro Competition- have been cancelled (and postponed) by the San Pedro Town Council.

Read: 2024 Dia De San Pedro is Coming Up: Tradition, Fishing, A Pagaent and a Big Party

Rain may be coming this evening and predictions show the heaviest on Saturday night and Sunday morning. Generally, the weather sites predict more rain than we actually get…but it doesn’t hurt to be prepared. Grab a rain jacket or umbrella before you head out…

And with the potential Tropical Storm Beryl…it’s more than a week out! OF COURSE it is something to keep an eye on…especially as it moves closer…

A great place to get updates and a compilation of many models is Tropical Tidbits.

One model (of many) from 95L and Tropical Tidbits

This whole corridor will be watching.

So…in summary…we are expecting rain on Ambergris Caye this weekend with the heaviest predicted Saturday-Sunday. Any other weather is quite a way off but should be watched!

And big picture thoughts? It’s too early for this shit!

My favorite sites are:

The National Hurricane Center

Tropical Tidbits (to REALLY get into all the models and forecasts)

Winderfinder (for daily weather forecasts – click on Forecast and Superforecast at the top of the page for different models)

I’ll post pictures today – heading up north – and over the weekend on Instagram so you can check out the real situation if you are not here.

Stay dry everyone.

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  1. Ken White on June 28th, 2024 at 9:25 am

    Be safe…it’s a little early you would think, but it’s the Caribbean…

    • San Pedro Scoop on June 29th, 2024 at 8:47 am

      Right? It’s the Caribbean and the ocean is hotter and hotter and…ugh.

      • Gretchen on June 30th, 2024 at 7:01 am

        Ugh. In NOLA, daily excessive heat warnings and now a hurricane. Why do I still live here again?

  2. LG Thompson on June 28th, 2024 at 11:49 am

    Hurricane season for 2024 projected to be quite active. I lived on Ambergris Caye when hurricane Mitch came through, 1998. Sat on top of Honduras for I think 3 days. Wasn’t fun to go through, especially in the days following. My heart goes out to anyone living on the island in bad weather. The island was much different back then, a very laid back vibe and not crowded. Would love to visit, but I’m afraid I will be disappointed in seeing all the traffic and big resorts. I enjoy living vicariously through this newsletter. Please stay safe.

    • San Pedro Scoop on June 29th, 2024 at 8:47 am

      Ugh Mitch! I can’t even imagine. And this island is crazy busy…traffic! You will definitely be very very very surprised.

  3. Tom on June 28th, 2024 at 12:33 pm

    Hey there scoop.
    Check out Ventusky. They got a pretty accurate weather site. It’s global
    Ventusky is showing Friday next week Placencia is in for some bad weather.

    • San Pedro Scoop on June 29th, 2024 at 8:45 am

      Cool. I’ll take a look. I think this storm will go north but then…i think that is just wishful thinking. 🙂 Stay dry down there.

  4. Billy Frank Thornton on June 28th, 2024 at 6:59 pm

    Weather or not…stray safe.

    • San Pedro Scoop on June 29th, 2024 at 8:44 am

      Thanks Bill. I think we’ll be good. But I don’t like this starting at the end of June!

  5. Tom on June 29th, 2024 at 11:46 am

    Hey scoop
    Yea from Ventusky. The storm does seem to be going a little north of Ambergris. Click on sea in Ventusky for wave action. Doesn’t look too bad no real huge waves. Seems the storm is going north just far enough away from Ambergris. Nice
    Still doesn’t hurt to batten down the hatches.

    • San Pedro Scoop on June 29th, 2024 at 4:11 pm

      My boyfriend is already on the highest alert – especially with new construction not finished yet?

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